Friday
turned-out to be a jubilant day of trade for Indian equity benchmarks with
frontline gauges ending the session at fresh closing peaks, surpassing their
crucial 22,300 (Nifty) and 73,700 (Sensex) levels. After making a gap-up
opening, markets gained strength-to-strength throughout the day, helped by
impressive GDP data. India reported a faster-than-expected 8.4 per cent growth
in Q3 GDP led by government capex spending. The National Statistical Office
(NSO), which releases the data, revised upwards FY24 growth estimate to 7.6 per
cent from the 7.3 per cent projected in January. Sentiments remained up-beat with a labour
ministry stating that retail inflation for industrial workers eased to 4.59 per
cent in January 2024 compared to 4.91 per cent in December 2023 mainly due to
lower prices of certain food items. Food inflation stood at 7.66 per cent in
January 2024 against 8.18 per cent in December 2023. Food inflation was 5.69
per cent in January 2023 a year ago. Domestic sentiments remained buoyant in
second half of trading session, as India's manufacturing sector continued
growth momentum in the month of February, aided by growth in factory production
and sales coupled with strongest expansion in new export orders. According to
the report, the seasonally adjusted HSBC India Manufacturing Purchasing
Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 56.9 in February as against 56.5 in January,
pointing the strongest improvement in the health of the sector since September
2023. Traders also took encouragement with Chief Economic Adviser V. Anantha
Nageswaran's statement that India's post-pandemic robust economic momentum will
continue for the fourth year in a row with a likely 7% expansion in the next
financial year. Traders took a note of reports that the government's fiscal
deficit at Rs 11 lakh crore at January end touched 63.6 per cent of the revised
annual target. In the corresponding period last year, the fiscal deficit or gap
between the expenditure and revenue was 67.8 per cent of Revised Estimates (RE)
of the Union Budget 2022-23. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 1245.05 points or
1.72% to 73,745.35 and the CNX Nifty was up by 355.95 points or 1.62% to
22,338.75.
The US markets magnified their
previous session's gains and ended higher on Friday with the Nasdaq and S&P
500 once again reaching new record closing highs. A report from the Institute
for Supply Management showed manufacturing activity in the U.S. unexpectedly
contracted at an accelerated rate in the month of February. The ISM said its
manufacturing PMI dipped to 47.8 in February from 49.1 in January, with a
reading below 50 indicating contraction. Street had expected the index to inch
up to 49.5. Also, the University of Michigan released revised data showing
consumer sentiment in the U.S. unexpectedly deteriorated in the month of
February. The report said the consumer sentiment index for February was
downwardly revised to 76.9 from the previously reported 79.6. Street had
expected the reading to be unrevised. With the unexpected downward revision,
the consumer sentiment index is now below the January reading of 79.0. The weak
data contributed to a downturn by treasury yields, which added to optimism
about the Federal Reserve eventually cutting interest rates. Meanwhile, the
surge by the Nasdaq partly reflected substantial strength among computer
hardware stocks following upbeat results from Dell (DELL), with the NYSE Arca
Computer Hardware Index soaring by 6.9 percent to a record closing high. Shares
of Dell skyrocketed by 31.6 percent after the computer maker reported fourth
quarter results that exceeded analyst estimates on both the top and bottom
lines. Biotechnology and networking stocks also saw considerable strength,
while gold, oil service and pharmaceutical stocks turned in some of the best
performances outside the tech sector.
Crude oil futures settled at a
four-month high on Friday, buoyed by the Energy Information Administration's
report that oil demand surged to a four-year high in 2023 and demand will hold
near that level through this year. Optimism about an interest rate cut by the
Federal Reserve in June also contributed to the jump in oil prices. Investors
await an OPEC+ decision on supply agreements for the second quarter. The group
is likely to extend its production cuts through the second quarter and possibly
the end of 2024. Escalating tensions in the Middle East also added to the rise
in the crude oil prices. Benchmark crude oil futures for April delivery rose
$1.71 or about 2.2% to settle at $79.97 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. Brent crude for April delivery was up by $1.71 or about 2.1% to
$83.94 per barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended lower against
the dollar on Friday amid rising crude oil prices in the overseas market and
increased demand for the American currency from importers. Sentiments were down
beat as eight core industries growth slowed to a 15-month low of 3.6 per cent
in January 2024, on account of poor performance of sectors like refinery
products and fertilizer. In December 2023, core sector growth had printed in at
4.9 percent. In January 2023, the core sector had grown by 9.7 per cent. On the
global front, the yen slipped against the dollar on Friday after Bank of Japan
governor Kazuo Ueda said it was too soon to declare victory on pulling
inflation up to a desired level. Meanwhile, the dollar was little changed
against its other major peers, bitcoin took a breather after surging last
month, and China's yuan dipped after weak manufacturing data. Finally, the
rupee ended at 82.91 (Provisional), weaker by 2 paise from its previous close
of 82.89 on Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net buyers in equity segment, while they were net sellers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 57371.12 crore against gross
selling of Rs 53169.81 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 1267.21 crore with gross sales of Rs 1400.96 crore. Besides, in the
hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 101.26 crore against gross selling
of Rs 63.60 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Friday after the manufacturing PMI growth contracted to 47.1 per cent as
against 49.1 per cent in January. The weak economic data bolstered hopes of
interest rate cut later this year. Asian markets ended mixed on Friday ahead of
China National People's Congress next week during which Beijing will announce
the annual GDP growth target. Indian markets rallied on Friday to hit record
highs, on better-than-expected GDP data, improved auto sales number and in-line
US Inflation figures, keeping hopes of a rate cut alive. Today, markets are
likely to continue their previous session's rally with positive start in
Saturday special trading session tracking firm cues from Wall Street overnight.
The NSE and BSE are conducting special trading session to test the preparedness
and capabilities of stock exchanges BSE and NSE to handle major disruption or
failure at the primary site and the ability to switch over to the disaster
recovery (DR) site. This special trading session will be held in two parts.
First trading will take place on the normal site from 09:15 to 10:00 AM; while
for the second slot trading will be switched to its Disaster Recovery Site
(DRS) to test its preparedness for any unforeseen events, from 11:30 to 12:30
noon. Fall in US Treasuries yields to support domestic markets. U.S. Treasuries
yields fell sharply including two-year yields' biggest daily decline since the
end of January after the manufacturing data and Waller's suggestion of the need
for shorter-dated Treasuries. Foreign fund inflows likely to aid domestic
sentiments. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) net bought shares worth Rs
128.94 crore on March 1, provisional data from the NSE showed. Sentiments will
get a boost as gross goods and services tax (GST) collection grew 12.54 per
cent year-on-year to Rs 1.68 trillion in February. Positive consumer sentiment
was also palpable through the monthly sales figures for cars and two-wheelers
as both segments witnessed an annual uptick. Some support will also come as
latest data by the Reserve Bank of India showed foreign exchange reserves rose
by $2.9 billion to $619 billion in the week ended February 23. The total
reserves rose due to an increase in foreign currency assets which increased by
$2.4 billion in the week. Meanwhile, Vedanta, Coal India, and NLC India,
alongside Ola Electric, Jindal Power, and the Dalmia Group, Shree Cement are
participating as bidders for 20 blocks in the initial phase of the auction for
critical mineral blocks in India.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
22,338.75
|
22,139.90
|
22,445.45
|
BSE
Sensex
|
73,745.35
|
72,951.25
|
74,179.32
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Steel
|
1237.10
|
150.55
|
145.49
|
153.14
|
HDFC
Bank
|
173.69
|
1429.30
|
1408.61
|
1441.36
|
State
Bank of India
|
173.49
|
770.00
|
757.30
|
777.35
|
Power
Grid
|
151.50
|
287.10
|
284.66
|
289.46
|
ICICI
Bank
|
149.10
|
1085.00
|
1062.69
|
1098.64
|
- Bharti Airtel has deployed
additional sites in Thrissur district to densify its network.
- Larsen & Toubro has secured
major contract from The Ministry of Defence, Government of India, for the
supply of High Power Radars to the Indian Air Force.
- Adani Enterprises has divested
its 100% stake in Vizag Tech Park - a wholly owned subsidiary on February 29,
2024 to Adani Infrastructure and Developers.
- Coal India's coal production has
increased by 8.7% to 74.8 MT in February 2024 as against 68.8 MT in February
2023.